Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $829.5K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 2:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
4%	0.04	$829.5K	$78.8K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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