Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $862.5K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
2%	0.02	$862.5K	$63.6K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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