Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $666.2K. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 14, 2026 at 1:40 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
4%	0.04	$666.2K	$411.3K	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Political Prediction Markets	Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

Current
4%

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