Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? It is currently trading at a 37% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030. Last updated September 8, 2026 at 11:13 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart 37% 0.37 Kalshi Open January 01, 2030 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? View on Kalshi Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago Current 29% 37% 37% Related Prediction Markets Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
