Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? It is currently trading at a 38% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030. Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart 38% 0.38 Kalshi Open January 01, 2030 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? View on Kalshi Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago Current 37% 45% 38% Related Prediction Markets Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30? Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
