Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 6500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? It is currently trading at a 50% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $8.1M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 5, 2026 at 1:07 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
50%	0.50	$8.1M	$45	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Other Prediction Markets	Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

Current
50%

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