Home › Prediction Markets › Other Prediction Markets › Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030? It is currently trading at a 25% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 8, 2030. Last updated October 29, 2026 at 2:44 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart 25% 0.25 Kalshi Open January 08, 2030 Market Information Category Event Source Other Prediction Markets Will Wales announce an independence referendum? View on Kalshi Historical Market Probability 7 days ago Current 20% 25% Related Prediction Markets Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Shimelis Abdisa be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
