Will legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) become law before Dec 31, 2029?

Will legislation that reinstates the Section 48E commercial Investment Tax Credit, or an equivalent credit, equal to 30% or greater of the solar value for commercial filers who own solar assets beyond the eligibility window currently in effect under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (Public Law 119-21) become law before Dec 31, 2029? It is currently trading at a 78% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2029.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
78% 0.78 Kalshi Open December 31, 2029 View chart

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Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
78% 80% 78%

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