Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033?

Will the FDA approve a cure for Type 1 Diabetes before 2033? It is currently trading at a 44% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2033.

Last updated October 17, 2026 at 7:38 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
44% 0.44 Kalshi Open January 01, 2033 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
37% 39% 44%

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