Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? It is currently trading at a 12% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $3.0M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2027.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
12% 0.12 $3.0M $202.0K Polymarket Open January 01, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
12% 14% 15% 12%

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