Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? It is currently trading at a 10% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $3.6M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
10%	0.10	$3.6M	$74.7K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Other Prediction Markets	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	90 days ago	Current
5%	6%	14%	10%

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