Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? It is currently trading at a 11% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $23.7K. Scheduled resolution: October 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
11% 0.11 $23.7K $64.6K Polymarket Open November 01, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago Current
11% 11%

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