Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027? It is currently trading at a 50% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.8M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2027.

Last updated October 5, 2026 at 10:20 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
50% 0.50 $2.8M $31 Polymarket Open January 01, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Category Event Source
Other Prediction Markets Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...? View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

Current
50%

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