Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 20% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.4M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 16, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
20%	0.20	$1.4M	$96.9K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026
• Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?
• Xi Jinping out before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
• Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
• Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
• Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?