Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag?

Will AfD win the next election to the German Bundestag? It is currently trading at a 87% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: March 25, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:52 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
87%	0.87	Kalshi	Open	March 25, 2030

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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