Will CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag?

Will CDU/CSU win the next election to the German Bundestag? It is currently trading at a 16% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: March 25, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
16% 0.16 Kalshi Open March 25, 2030 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
15% 37% 16%

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