Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028?
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2028? It is currently trading at a 59% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2031.
Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 59% | 0.59 | Kalshi | Open | January 01, 2031 |
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Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Other Prediction Markets | When will any company achieve AGI? | View on Kalshi |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | 30 days ago | Current |
|---|---|---|
| 67% | 68% | 59% |
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