Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027?

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2027? It is currently trading at a 27% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2031.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 11:17 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
27% 0.27 Kalshi Open January 01, 2031 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
33% 55% 27%

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