Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030?
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jan 1, 2030? It is currently trading at a 81% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2031.
Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81% | 0.81 | Kalshi | Open | January 01, 2031 |
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Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Other Prediction Markets | When will any company achieve AGI? | View on Kalshi |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | 30 days ago | Current |
|---|---|---|
| 81% | 86% | 81% |
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