Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028?

Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2028? It is currently trading at a 59% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2031.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 4:27 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
59% 0.59 Kalshi Open January 01, 2031 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
56% 61% 59%

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