Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? It is currently trading at a 97% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.9M. Scheduled resolution: October 4, 2026.

Last updated October 4, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
97%	0.97	$1.9M	$266.3K	Polymarket	Open	October 05, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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