Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? It is currently trading at a 3% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.3M. Scheduled resolution: October 4, 2026.
Last updated October 4, 2026 at 6:08 PM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Volume | Liquidity | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3% | 0.03 | $2.3M | $307.8K | Polymarket | Open | October 05, 2026 |
|
Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Political Prediction Markets | Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner | View on Polymarket |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | 30 days ago | Current |
|---|---|---|
| 74% | 89% | 3% |
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