Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? It is currently trading at a 47% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.5M. Scheduled resolution: June 2, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
47% 0.47 $1.5M $88.2K Polymarket Open June 03, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
42% 64% 64% 47%

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