Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? It is currently trading at a 65% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $861.4K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
65% 0.65 $861.4K $72.2K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
64% 62% 66% 65%

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