Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? It is currently trading at a 32% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $283.6K. Scheduled resolution: October 27, 2026.

Last updated October 27, 2026 at 8:36 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
32% 0.32 $283.6K $96.1K Polymarket Open October 28, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Category Event Source
Political Prediction Markets Israel Election: Likud # of seats? View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
29% 21% 18% 32%

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