Will Reform UK minority + Conservative support form the next government in the United Kingdom?

Will Reform UK minority + Conservative support form the next government in the United Kingdom? It is currently trading at a 11% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 6:52 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
11%	0.11	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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