Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom?

Will Reform UK minority form the next government in the United Kingdom? It is currently trading at a 11% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
11% 0.11 Kalshi Open January 01, 2030 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Current
11%

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