Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 13% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.1M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 17, 2026 at 9:47 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
13% 0.13 $1.1M $58.4K Polymarket Open January 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
15% 29% 48% 13%

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