Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 40% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $840.2K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 2, 2026 at 12:26 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
40%	0.40	$840.2K	$57.0K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Other Prediction Markets	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	90 days ago	Current
48%	55%	36%	40%

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