Home › Prediction Markets › World Prediction Markets › Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 7% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $312.0K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2025. Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET Current Market Probability Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart 7% 0.07 $312.0K $43.8K Polymarket Open December 31, 2025 Market Information Category Event Source World Prediction Markets Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? View on Polymarket Historical Market Probability 7 days ago 30 days ago Current 6% 6% 7% Related Prediction Markets NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Popular Prediction Markets Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?