Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 31, 2026?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by September 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 99% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $5.4M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2025.

Last updated September 18, 2026 at 9:40 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
99% 0.99 $5.4M $0 Polymarket Open December 31, 2025 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Current
99%

Related Prediction Markets

Popular Prediction Markets