Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?

Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? It is currently trading at a 2% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $147.6K. Scheduled resolution: September 30, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
2% 0.02 $147.6K $4.1K Polymarket Open October 01, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
2% 3% 5% 2%

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