Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 65% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $3.9M. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
65%	0.65	$3.9M	$1.4M	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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