Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? It is currently trading at a 64% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.2M. Scheduled resolution: November 7, 2028.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:04 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
64% 0.64 $1.2M $241.9K Polymarket Open November 08, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
64% 64% 58% 64%

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