Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? It is currently trading at a 35% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.2M. Scheduled resolution: November 7, 2028.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
35% 0.35 $1.2M $391.8K Polymarket Open November 08, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
34% 35% 40% 35%

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