Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? It is currently trading at a 41% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $1.1M. Scheduled resolution: November 6, 2028.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 3:26 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
41% 0.41 $1.1M $169.0K Polymarket Open November 07, 2028 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
40% 40% 40% 41%

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