Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 12% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $4.3M. Scheduled resolution: November 2, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:55 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
12% 0.12 $4.3M $341.8K Polymarket Open November 03, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
12% 14% 20% 12%

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