Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 10% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $7.6M. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
10%	0.10	$7.6M	$2.6M	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Political Prediction Markets	Which party will win the House in 2026?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	90 days ago	Current
10%	12%	16%	10%

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