Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? It is currently trading at a 39% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $291.9K. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:50 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
39%	0.39	$291.9K	$142.7K	Polymarket	Open	November 03, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Related Prediction Markets

• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
• Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Popular Prediction Markets

• Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
• Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
• Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
• Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?