Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? It is currently trading at a 40% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $772.3K. Scheduled resolution: November 2, 2026.

Last updated September 22, 2026 at 2:55 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
40% 0.40 $772.3K $139.3K Polymarket Open November 03, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
46% 48% 57% 40%

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