Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2027?

Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2027? It is currently trading at a 4% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated November 6, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
4%	0.04	Kalshi	Open	December 31, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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