Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2028?

Will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000 before Dec 31, 2028? It is currently trading at a 49% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated November 6, 2026 at 3:31 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
49% 0.49 Kalshi Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
50% 74% 49%

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