Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? It is currently trading at a 6% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $508.2K. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 28, 2026 at 5:08 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
6%	0.06	$508.2K	$45.8K	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Political Prediction Markets	Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	Current
8%	6%

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