Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? It is currently trading at a 1% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $382.3K. Scheduled resolution: November 3, 2026.

Last updated October 28, 2026 at 5:08 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
1%	0.01	$382.3K	$42.1K	Polymarket	Open	November 04, 2026

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Political Prediction Markets	Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?	View on Polymarket

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	Current
4%	1%

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