Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

Will there be at least 4750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? It is currently trading at a 93% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $7.9M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 3, 2026 at 11:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
93%	0.93	$7.9M	$33	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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