Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 3% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $3.2M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 1:18 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
3%	0.03	$3.2M	$146.4K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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