Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 6% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $2.7M. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 12:10 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
6%	0.06	$2.7M	$170.1K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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