Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027? It is currently trading at a 10% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $11.3K. Scheduled resolution: June 30, 2027.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:34 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
10% 0.10 $11.3K $27.2K Polymarket Open July 01, 2027 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago Current
8% 12% 10%

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