Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?

Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030? It is currently trading at a 24% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated September 1, 2026 at 1:40 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
24%	0.24	Kalshi	Open	January 01, 2030

Market Information

Category	Event	Source
Political Prediction Markets	Will a ballot initiative on California secession qualify for a vote before 2030?	View on Kalshi

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago	30 days ago	Current
17%	24%	24%

Related Prediction Markets

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Popular Prediction Markets

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?