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Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Platform: Polymarket Visit on Polymarket
Market Outcome Last / Yes Volume
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0050
Yes $0.0010
 287,596
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 277,927
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? Chart Yes
Last $1.00
Yes $1.00
 229,027
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 223,171
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0005
Yes $0.0010
 217,577
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 109,404
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 109,308
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 57,843
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 12,026
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 10,653
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Chart Yes
Last $0.0010
Yes $0.0010
 10,076

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