Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Resolved

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? It is currently trading at a 0% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $287.6K. This market is resolved.

Last updated October 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Platform Status Resolution date Chart
0% 0.00 $287.6K Polymarket Resolved October 05, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
14% 39% 42% 0%

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