Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
Resolved
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? It is currently trading at a 0% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $277.9K. This market is resolved.
Last updated October 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET
Current Market Probability
| Probability | Price | Volume | Platform | Status | Resolution date | Chart |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0.00 | $277.9K | Polymarket | Resolved | October 05, 2026 |
|
Market Information
| Category | Event | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Political Prediction Markets | Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory | View on Polymarket |
Historical Market Probability
| 7 days ago | 30 days ago | 90 days ago | Current |
|---|---|---|---|
| 58% | 44% | 18% | 0% |
Related Prediction Markets
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?