Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? It is currently trading at a 0% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $217.5K. Scheduled resolution: October 4, 2026.

Last updated October 5, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
0%	0.00	$217.5K	$245.2K	Polymarket	Open	October 05, 2026

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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