Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? It is currently trading at a 14% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $12.6K. Scheduled resolution: December 31, 2026.

Last updated September 16, 2026 at 9:43 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability	Price	Volume	Liquidity	Platform	Status	Resolution date	Chart
14%	0.14	$12.6K	$29.1K	Polymarket	Open	January 01, 2027

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

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