Will Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support form the next government in the United Kingdom?

Will Labour minority + LD/Green/SNP/Plaid support form the next government in the United Kingdom? It is currently trading at a 7% probability on Kalshi. Scheduled resolution: January 1, 2030.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 3:27 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Platform Status Resolution date Chart
7% 0.07 Kalshi Open January 01, 2030 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

Current
7%

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