Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? It is currently trading at a 81% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $146.0K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 4:28 PM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
81% 0.81 $146.0K $21.2K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
76% 73% 22% 81%

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