Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? It is currently trading at a 18% probability on Polymarket. Reported volume is $45.2K. Scheduled resolution: December 30, 2026.

Last updated October 16, 2026 at 5:21 AM ET

Current Market Probability

Probability Price Volume Liquidity Platform Status Resolution date Chart
18% 0.18 $45.2K $2.0K Polymarket Open December 31, 2026 View chart

Market Information

Historical Market Probability

7 days ago 30 days ago 90 days ago Current
9% 15% 7% 18%

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